Monday, October 20, 2008

This is It

by Ryan

"Don't waste my time, this is it, is this really happening?" -Ryan Adams

Tell me again that this is for real. Please, please tell me this Bills team really is 5-1 and about to enter division play.

This isn't supposed to happen. The Bills aren't supposed to win close games against good teams, and the defense isn't supposed to limit the Chargers to 14 points. That doesn't happen in Buffalo. We don't have linebackers drift over the middle to intercept passes on the goal line, and we sure as hell don't have a pass rush without Aaron Schobel. This can't be a Bills defense, they don't do "bend but don't break." The Bills do "bend and teeter and break at the worst possible time," it's practically their signature move.

Today's game was pretty incredible when you think about it. Aside from all the power issues, the helium balloons, and the fact that most people saw half the game, the Bills did something they don't usually do: they completely outplayed a good team.

The argument that a team is "better" or "worse" than their record always has its downside. For everyone that can say the Chargers are better than their record can say the Bills are much worse than theirs; and that's why a 23-14 final means so much for this team. The Bills have had their fair share of weak opponents, but the Chargers were a good team with a lot to play for.

Remember, Philip Rivers is having a great year, and they have been scoring points like crazy. Not only did the Bills get to Rivers and force mistakes, they stopped the running game and caused some huge, huge turnovers. It was exactly what our defense failed to do against the Cardinals, but Poz and company did it against one of the best offenses in the league.

Oh, and Trent Edwards isn't concussed anymore. 25/30 is nothing to sneeze at, either. This wasn't one of those "game management" type of performances, he was in complete control on offense and made some great throws under pressure. You can't say it enough about Trent, he has pocket presence and a maturity beyond his years. Hopefully we get to say this after every week, but what a game from the kid.

I know we are beating around the bush here, but I think we can stop asking if this team is "for real" or not. Screw the pundits, forget the power rankings, and stop caring if Chris Carter or whoever thinks Lee Evans is a good enough #1 wide receiver. You know what you've seen from this team, and you know how they stack up against some very good teams in this division.

Now we are going to see how they stack up against teams in their own division. Next three games are against the Dolphins, Jets, and Patriots, and neither of them have blown me away just yet. If they play like they did today, I can't see any of them causing a big problem. Yes, even those Patriots everyone hates so much.

Speaking of them, they play another big bad AFC team team tonight in Denver. The question is, do you root for the Broncos because of the division standings, or the Patriots because of the conference?

Yeah, this really is happening.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

My Turn

by Ryan



"They always said Red Sox fans would care a little less after we climbed the mountain once or twice, that it wouldn't mean as much, that it couldn't possibly mean as much. That's not true. It will never be true. You either love sports or you don't." - Bill Simmons

No choke tonight



So it's Rays-Phillies in the Fall Classic.

Who ya got?

Random



Every single picture of Trent Edwards shows him throwing with his mouth open.

Oh, and the Bills are 5-1 and just beat an "AFC Finalist." That seems important, too.

Much, much more to come later.

The Face of Evil



Screw you, happy balloon.

Gameday Prep: Bills vs. Chargers

by Ryan



Hah. Like Philip Rivers can do math. Girls can't do math...


Announcers: Greg Gumbel, Dan Dierdorf. Wow, top billing for the 1pm games, too. Must be Marmalard. (Courtesy of Awful Announcing)

Game Distribution Maps: Courtesy of the506.

Depth Charts: Chargers, Bills

Stats: NFL.com, ESPN, or Yahoo Sports all do a good job. If you have fantasy teams through Yahoo, you're better off paying the ten bucks for "stattracker", it's a lifesaver. (Especially when you have three fantasy leagues with Yahoo...)

Things They've Been Saying:
- Yahoo Sports' Charles Robinson on the Chargers' D problems.



Yeah, I'd miss that face, too.

- Edwards and Roscoe are good to go today, and major props go to the Dukes for catching the News' premature injury bukakke.

- Adam Schefter has a great take on the Tony Gonzalez situation. It's always nice to see a national name say "F#$k you, Buffalo's a great football town." But seriously Tony Gonzalez, fuck you.

- The always in touch Wall Street Journal calls Bills fans the "worst-behaving fans in all of sports." The entire article is an endorsement for how well managed Lincoln Financial Field is on gamedays, which is odd because someone has ALREADY BEEN RAPED THERE THIS YEAR. But yeah, drinking is bad. Now if you'll just step into my mobile home over here...

Pump-Up Song that Will Melt Your Face Off: "War Pigs", Black Sabbath



No political message here, that guitar just makes me want to rip someone's face off.

Fun Facts:

- The game can be seen on Time Warner's Channel 15, but only in Niagara County.

- Word is McCargo is "unhappy" about being left for dead by the Bills and isn't healthy enough to crack the Colts roster. Wow, you would think that kind of thing would just roll right off...

- NFL.com's Gamecenter is actually pretty helpful if you're into that kind of thing. I'd look that over if we missed anything.

- Money's bye week post on Yardbarker is pretty... interesting.

Okay, that's it. Game time. I'll be around all day, so if you have a thought drop a line. Comments, email, or our AIM: GoosesRoost28. It's going to be loud at the Ralph today, and maybe even louder at home. Just like old times.




Go Bills.

Laletdown Game

by Ryan



Ah, the comfort of the expected. Heading into the game you knew all the factors against the Sabres; the short rest, injury troubles, the likelihood of starting the backup goalie. Throw in the Sabres' record on Saturday nights and you were looking at a good bet for our first loss of the year.

It didn't really feel that way though, did it? Sure, the Sabres "lost" in the skills challenge, but what we saw was a team overcome its flat start and mount a comeback, as well as a pretty strong performance by a backup goaltender. When you consider how badly the Thrashers were outplaying Buffalo in the first period, it actually becomes a pretty impressive game, and a point that may turn out to be big in a few months.

Sure, you could say the Sabres should have won a game against a bad opponent. That's an argument I can't refute, but with all of the above mentioned, a point is a point. I always hate when pundits say the games "matter most" in February and March because they are closer to the season's end. Points always matter, and when it's April and the Sabres are off the pace a few points I always look back to games much earlier in the season as missed chances.

Tonight could have been one of those chances. Instead, it's a point. Sure, we are an Atlas shot wide and a Lalime five hole away from two points, but how much more can you ask for from those two guys? Lalime was shelled in the first and Buffalo was constantly shorthanded but he stood strong. Kovalchuk and Little are the major scorers for Atlanta, and those guys ended up on the score sheet. After 19 shots in the first, the Sabres were lucky they were the only two on it.

And what else can you say about Atlas Vanek? Was there even a doubt in your mind that he was going to make some noise tonight? I mean, I keep saying over and over that he can't keep this up, but, he can't keep this up, can he? Shootouts and breakaways are his most notable weakness, but I'd take another 77 games worth of this Thomas Vanek any season. Is he worth $8 million this year? Hell and yes.

I think after a week like the Sabres had you have to take the positives out of this game and just hope they come back strong on Tuesday. We learned that Patrick Lalime is a reliable backup goaltender, and I don't have to swallow my tongue when he gets the nod in net. We also learned that there isn't much quit in this team, even down two on the road on short rest. Those are good signs, and I'll take nine points five games into the season and run with it.

Oh, and Slava Kozlov blows.

Saturday, October 18, 2008

Tek says, "F--K YO COWBELL, MANG!"



At least that's what I assume he said. Maybe Rich will be able to tell us shortly.

On to ATL

by Ryan

This would be the definition of a letdown game.

Tonight the Sabres take on the Thrashers in the ATL, and after a game like last night's a bit of a slump isn't too hard to imagine. I mean, the Sabres can't keep this up, right?



Yeah, I think they can.

Think about who is scoring for this team right now. Kotalik. MacArthur. Of course Pominville is getting involved, and Atlas Vanek is doing that thing he does, but where is everyone else? Roy has been quiet, Afinogenov is still getting there, and Stafford may not have touched the puck yet this year.

Add in an injured Hecht, an osteoporosis-riddled Tim Connolly, and true fourth line and the Sabres have a suddenly top-heavy offense. That offense is firing on all cylinders right now, but they will slow down. What will be important is who steps in when those guys slow down, and in theory the people are in place to fill that role.

There is far too much talent on this roster to be kept down for long, and if Roy rounds into shape and the defense maintains their play, who knows how long they can play like this. 4-0 is nice, but we've seen teams that start strong fall way, way short of the real goal. It's not "consistency" we are looking for but rather longevity. Atlas can only hold up the team for so long, and he's going to need a Hercules or two to help him out along the way.

But that's not the concern right now, is it? Let's talk a bit about the Thrashers.

- Currently in 12th in the Conference, the Thrashers are 1-2-1 and struggling early.

- Their leading scorer is second year player Brian Little, who doesn't exactly terrify me. Kovalchuck is still their main threat, and Slava Kozlov blows.

- When you watch tonight, remember that Ron Hainsey is making 4.5 million this year. Then look at our captain and smile.

- Did anyone else notice that Andrew Peters had an actual fight last night? That was nice. He is... valuable when he does that, and as much crap as we give him, it would be nice for him to keep that up.

- One player to watch is Zach Bogosian, who is supposed to make a big impact as a rookie.

- For some irrational reason I really hate the Thrashers. Maybe it's because their third jersey looks like a college football uniform, or maybe it's because Slava Kozlov blows. Either way, it would be nice to finish the week out with a win.

I'll be around tonight, but there's another game on I'll be paying more attention to. Needless to say, I'll be watching this game twice.

Friday, October 17, 2008

A View From The Roost: Atlas Keeps Rolling

By Chris

Sometimes I look back at the 2003 NHL Entry Draft and wonder if the Sabres made the right move. The first round of that draft is arguably the deepest in recent memory as, five years later, nearly every player from that round is an impact player for his respective team.

The Sabres could have gone in a variety of directions with the fifth overall pick. They could have shored up the defense and selected Dion Phaneuf or Braydon Coburn. They could have reached a bit and selected scoring center Jeff Carter or bruising right winger Dustin Brown. But they needed a scoring winger and they went with a face that Buffalonians were familiar with.

That past February, the Minnesota Golden Gophers won the NCAA Championship in Buffalo behind freshman left wing Thomas Vanek.

Vanek struggled his rookie season with the Sabres coming out of the lockout, despite scoring 25 goals. It was his playoff performance that he'll most be remembered for that year as he was benched in favor of Taylor Pyatt.

His sophomore campaign was a great turn around as he developed chemistry with center Derek Roy on the third line and finished 2006-07 with 43 goals, 84 points and an NHL-best +43.

Last year was hit and miss. At times we saw Atlas Vanek, putting the team on his shoulders and winning games on his own. Look back at the rally against Tampa Bay for proof, where Vanek scored a natural hat trick to give the Sabres a come from behind victory.

He guaranteed that his team would make the playoffs and despite scoring 14 goals in the last 14 games, the team fell short.

This year, Vanek has picked up right where he left off. He currently leads the NHL with six goals and is more confident than ever.

The Sabres are off to a 4-0 start. The powerplay is clicking. They're scoring shorthanded goals. They haven't given up a powerplay goal yet. Two goals tonight is the most they've allowed in a single game all year.

As impressive as they have been as a team (the new mindset of the team that Craig Rivet seems to have brought is a whole other discussion), it's Vanek that everyone's talking about.

He's going to the net and isn't afraid to get bumped around. He showed that several times tonight against Vancouver.

The goal he scored was a thing of beauty. He was bumped around in front of the net, an area he's dominated his entire career and was able to roof a back hand into the top corner. He took the hit but was able to finish. He even mixed it up a little with the scuffle at the benches in the first period.

He's been making plays like that goal all year so far. His goal against Montreal was probably the smartest goal he's scored as a pro and his assist on Kotalik's goal was just as nice. The ability to draw a penalty and keep your head in the game to make a pass like that to Kotalik in the slot is invaluable.

Sometimes I wonder if the Sabres were right in picking Vanek in 2003. When you see what he's capable of, as we have in the Sabres last 20 games (going back to last season), it's hard to argue that they were wrong. And as he gets more experience on the penalty kill and in his own zone, it's scary to think that the Austrian Atlas can only get better.



Other thoughts on tonight's game:

--Last night's match against Detroit clearly took a lot out of Vancouver. They started out flat and Curtis Sanford being soft in goal didn't help matters. This was the third game of a five game road trip for Vancouver and it showed.

The Canucks looked like they wanted to get out of the building as soon as possible and head out to Chicago for Sunday's game against a conference opponent.

But Buffalo never really let up in the game and took advantage of a tired hockey club. It was the Sabres' goal to get off to a fast start and they accomplished just that.

--Kaleta. I love that he's an instigator and all that. Really I do. Guys like Darcy Tucker and Sean Avery and Jarkko Ruutuu are guys that I hate to play against but they're also guys that I would take on my team almost every day.

But to see Kaleta just be so unwilling to drop the gloves all the time is sickening. I'm a huge fan of four-minute penalties. Who isn't? But he's earning a bad reputation around the league. That diving call he took tonight? I'd expect to see that called against him more frequently just because of his style.

What he did tonight may have sparked the team but his routine could grow old very fast and if he doesn't start standing up himself by dropping the gloves, his antics could eventually get stars like Vanek or Pominville speared or worse by a bitter opponent.

--On the topic of the agigitators, Peters kind of looked like a hockey player tonight. I think he's a horrible waste of space, but he had a very good game tonight and not just by Peters' usually negative standards. He even took a few shots and had some confidence.

Oh yeah, and there was this. One of the rare times he looked like a real fighter.


--The Sabres are 18-for-18 on the penalty kill this season. As long as the defense stays healthy, I have a feeling that special teams will continue to be successful. With veteran presences that the team didn't have last year like Teppo Numminen and Rivet, there seems to be a quiet confidence on defense.


Henrik Tallinder, Toni Lydman and Jaroslav Spacek have been the Sabres' most reliable defensemen over the last two or three years and adding experience and talent like Numminen and Rivet gives the team the most consistent top five they've had in a long time.

Andrej Sekera can only benefit from being among this corps and he's looked very, very good for a rookie.

--Ryan Miller wasn't particularly busy tonight but he was sharp when called upon. The first goal looked like a typical over the shoulder Miller goal but it looked to me like Kesler's shot was tipped just as he shot it. And I'm willing to forget about the Bernier goal. It looked like a flukey play that didn't go Buffalo's way.

Also, I thought Miller played the puck tonight better tonight than he did all of last season. It's easy to forget that one of Miller's greatest strengths when he first came into the league was that he was a very strong puck handler.

--Speaking of that second goal, outside of that play, the Sedin Twins were virtually invisible. Ruff matched the Roy-Vanek-Stafford line up against them for most of the night and the Sabres were really able to keep Bernier and the twins in check.

The entire Vancouver offense seemed to be in a lull, and perhaps most of that had to do with beating the Red Wings last night. Beyond the two goals, their only other real offensive pressure came when Pavol Demitra hit the crossbar on the powerplay in the second period.

--Who thought MacArthur could be an effective second line center? For a guy who only started playing because (surprise!) Tim Connolly got hurt (again), he's done more than an adequate job filling in for Jochen Hecht (who, once again, is brochen).


Keep crashing the net, Sparky.

--And Kotalik also has four goals in four games. Almost forgot about that one. Somebody told him he's in a contract year. And despite Afinogenov quiet on the stat sheet, he actually is playing well. He's moving the puck and keeping defenders on their toes. As long he stays healthy, the scoring will come.

And if Max can heat up as someone cools down, I'm pretty sure we'll see some more tallies in the Wins column.

--The crowd was pretty tame tonight but I think it mostly had to do to the fact that Buffalo was in the driver's seat all game. Going into the second period up 3-0, you can only do so much chanting. Being ahead I think calmed the crowd and allowed them to enjoy the actual game rather than the T-shirt cannon. Being 200 fans short of a sellout probably made a little bit of a difference as well.

--Granted we're only four games in, but with the way they continue to win and battle despite all the injuries, we may be looking at a Sabres team that's deeper than even the 2005-06 roster. And that's the team that many, myself included, thought should have won the Stanley Cup.

--With a game against Atlanta tomrrow, the worst the Sabres can do is start like Vancouver did tonight. Ruff knows how to avoid that but it will be interesting to see if this team is mature enough to be able to step up to the challenge.

If you were at the game too, we'd love to hear your take on it. That's what the comment boxes and our e-mail address is for.

Real Quick

by Ryan

Just some things quickly because the Red Sox tried to kill me last night

- If you haven't seen them around, it looks like the league's new marketing campaign is up in full swing. This is the Sabres' version:



- Some interesting numbers if you care how much you are paying for beer compared to fans up north.

- Mirtle has some early numbers going, which put the Sabres atop the league in goal differential. It seems giving up one a game will do that for you.

- I was kind of bummed about not seeing a Sabres hat I liked at New Era downtown. That means I'll be looking hard when I head to the arena on Tuesday. Sabres Style, perhaps? Has anyone seen that stuff in person, because if it's more Derek Roy than Paul Gaustad it probably wouldn't work for me.

- If the poll is still up on the sidebar, it's pretty obvious that Ales Kotalik won. Which is good, because if Connolly kept that lead I was going to stab someone in the face.

- Tonight's game against the Canucks will be very interesting. Vancouver is on short rest, and in my mind this would be a perfect time to rest your all world goalie. However, Roberto is used to going 75 games/season, so what do I know. Either way a fast start will be important against a team with tired legs.

- Chris is right, that Vanek logo should be a t-shirt if he keeps this up. Paging 289...

- Another person who is right is Matty Dubs from the comments: "Today could not be going more slowly."

Much more to come later.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Why Mara Was Right

by Ryan

I try really hard not to be a complete homer at times. This is easy to do on the internet, because you never know when a Bruins or Leafs might come by and tell you how wrong you are. Even so, there are plenty of time I'll defend a player to the death for their actions, if only because of the sweater they wear.

This is not one of those times.

Listen, you all know I love me some Pat Kaleta, but what happened with Paul Mara makes a whole lot of sense in hindsight. Kaleta has gained a bit of a reputation over his brief stay in the NHL, and last night he lived up to the downside of that reputation. Check out what last night's AP summary had to say.

“It’s two hits on me that he has jumped,” Mara said. “I just made a decision that enough is enough from that little guy. If he was a man, he would’ve dropped the gloves and stood in there. I did what I had to do."


Actually, I agree with what Mara is saying. Kaleta needs to stop turtling or his antics aren't going to work anymore, and even if he fights back Mara will get two for the instigator. He shouldn't have other people cleaning up his messes, and he shouldn't be lying in a heap while a defenseman whomps on him. He just proved a game ago that he can fight, why not defend his own actions?

I wouldn't be so ready to defend Mara if not for this next bit:

“I’ll always remember that hit. And when he was in the scrum he made a pretty classless move, asking me how my face was. You don’t want to hurt guys in this league, and to have him say something like that, it’s classless.”


Again, I absolutely agree, especially if Kaleta really did say that. That's not in the code. That's not how hockey is played. Even if both hits were completely legal you don't revel in another player's injury. Asking about Mara's face isn't some clever rap lyric, and it's not "have another doughnut." It's classless, plain and simple, and I don't like seeing that from a kid I like so much.

For the record, this is the hit from last night:



One skate off the ground for sure. Dirty? Probably not.

But here's where Mara's beef starts:



Yeah, I can see where he is coming from. It's not outright illegal but it's borderline enough that I can understand where Mara could get upset. We all know the result, and no matter how good a hit the resulting injury isn't something to brag about. Kaleta's defense was this:

“I caught him pretty good last year, but it’s part of the game,” Kaleta said. “I go in and finish the check. That’s my job and that’s what I have to do. Whether he didn’t like it, or it was from last year, I’m not too sure.”


It's tough to criticize that logic, but if Kaleta is going to take that "job" he has to stand up for himself, even if that means taking on a guy bigger than him, and even if he doesn't want to. We previously thought that he took big strides last year by getting into a real fight, and this year with "the Witt Slam". As of today, I think all that progress has gone away. I like the kid, I really do, but you have to respect the game and "The Code", even if you are a "new breed" of enforcer.

If you can't stand up for your actions, you aren't enforcing anything.

Fresh Start



The Sox may lose tonight, but I'm going to look damn good watching it.



This will be interesting to say the least.

Welcome Back, Angelo John

by Ryan



I'm sure the ride back from the airport went juuuuuuust fine...

Atlas in the Apple

by Ryan

To say that last night's game was a big win would be a huge understatement. When you control the flow of a game against a team like the Rangers while Clarke MacArthur is a "top scoring line center", well, things are going well. That's not to say he hasn't played well, he has, but Clarke making a big impact this early wasn't exactly in the game plan from September.

It is still so very early, but once again the Sabres gave us those little things to look for and take hope from. Taking it to the Rangers at home while on a long road trip is so very important. Ryan Miller talked about how a trip to New York City has helped the team bond, but I think going in to MSG and flat out beating the Rangers will do more for this team in the long run. Who is left to fear in this Conference after beating the Habs on opening night and the Rangers at home?



What are we going to do with this version of Thomas Vanek? Do we even have a nice, safe place to put him right now? Like a nice, high shelf far away from Connolly's STDs and Afinogenov's bipolar disease? This Thomas Vanek we have under contract is pretty great, isn't he? Like, I wanna build statues in honor of this Thomas Vanek, and pour libations out to honor his offspring.

He's not going to keep this pace up, he just can't. However, this is the Thomas Vanek that Kevin Lowe tried to give his first born for, and the Vanek we saw at the end of last year claim we would make the playoffs. This is Altas Vanek, and he's a hockey player that can literally put a team on his back for any stretch of time. When was the last time we had a player like that, and when was the last time that player started carrying in October?

To watch Vanek carry over his play from last spring can only bring up the expectations around here. Miller has been good, the penalty kill has been unreal, and the Sabres are scoring goals. All this happening with two centers out is simply stunning. Where did all this defense come from after the abysmal performance they gave last year? Since when does Sekera 1) not suck balls, and 2) log 20+ in ice time per game?

I would like to say I saw this coming. Sure, the signs with Sekera and Vanek were there last year. However, to see it come together so well this fast is pretty impressive, especially with who is out. There are still a number of things that bothered me, and we will get to those later. For right now, we have a busy weekend coming up with another big test on Friday.

Consider the first big test passed.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

'What up Atlas'



Oh yeah, it's happening.

Small Sample Sizes and the Rangers

by Ryan

The headline says it all, really.



Well okay, maybe that girl's eyes say it a lot more than the headline. Seriously Todd, hit up dem digets. She's digging the man-beard and your violent tendencies.

Anyway, that gist of that story is that Todd Bertuzzi was worth the risk his almost $2 million contract is for. That's quite a statement just three games in, especially about a player who was a complete bust for two teams (Florida and Detroit), and only a moderate success for Anaheim. Sure, three goals in three games is pretty good (better than some superstars, at least), but how much can you really say about one team in 180 minutes of hockey, let alone one player?

It is this kind of instant history that the beginning of the season creates. I don't blame NHL.com for doing it, it's sort of their job to make something out of nothing. However, the important thing for us to do is not get caught up into that hype. Sure, Vanek has three goals in two games as well, but no one is saying his play is going to stay that way. He will taper off, his game will lag at times, and like the rookie batting .800 through four five trips to the plate, so too will a hockey player's numbers even out.

This small sample size is why fantasy teams shouldn't be torn apart after the first week, and why coaches deal with struggling players in tough stretches. Just because a player isn't slumping to start the year doesn't mean that rough patch won't come, and patience is necessary for bad starts just as much as it is necessary for good ones.

With that in mind we turn our attention to the Rangers, who by all accounts are having a very good start. I think it is important to note that two wins are against a consensus "bad team" (Tampa), two "struggling teams"(Flyers and Blackhawks), and one perennial playoff team (Devils). No easy stretch for sure, but just something to note. That doesn't mean they haven't been tested, as traveling across the country to start a season isn't exactly a positive thing.

It will be an interesting game to be sure, but I don't know how much we can add to the discussion by speculating this early on. The Rangers right now are considered the best team in hockey, and I don't doubt that. However, as many question marks that have been offered about the Sabres have thus far been answered soundly. Yet another small sample size, but a positive outcome for sure.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that no matter what we think we know, the truth is that the only thing we know is that we don't know much. All we can do is get excited about the match up, look for positive signs, and hope for the best.

The Rangers are undefeated. So are the Sharks, Wild, Canadians, and Sabres. So is Phoenix. Then again, Ottawa had the best start anyone alive had ever seen last year, and they were the victims come postseason. We all know what became of the Sabres' 10-0 start. Right now there are too many questions going around and not enough answers.

I'm pretty excited about finding those answers, though.

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Oh Mi Corazón

by Ryan

Just a few thoughts to close out the night as I watch the Sox get murdered.

- Hecht out two weeks is going to hurt this team, I think that's pretty obvious. However, this is going to be another chance for Ales and Max to make an impression. So far Ales has played pretty well, but shootout goals have to be a compliment to the rest of his game.




- Thomas Vanek has already matched his goal total from last October. Yeah, he's going to have a big year.

- Did anyone else get the "GREAT SEATS STILL AVAILABLE!!" email for the Canucks game on Friday? Do you think the lack of sellouts will be a result of shaky fan support or do people just not want to see the West? I know personally I'm pretty excited to see the Blues, Red Wings, Canucks, and other Western Conference opponents at the Arena this year. The West is still the stronger conference, and getting a good look at them will be important to gauge how good this team is.

My other theory is that because all the weekend games are at least a silver on the price scale many people are unwilling to drop that kind of coin on a team with some question marks. I'm eyeing the November 1st Caps game, but it's going to cost me if I want to see me some AO.

- Chris showed me a Buffalo News review of Klosterman's Downtown Owl. I'm surprised to hear that a guy claiming to like Klosterman didn't like the book. Literrary critics don't really mean much to me, but I think he misunderstood what Klosterman was trying to do with nicknames and blurs the line between his past works and his first novel. This was no "Zach Morris" story, and that was intentional. Strange review overall.

- If I hear TBS apply a terrible Bon Jovi song to one more city I'm going to stab Frank Calliendo in the taint. So they better stop, because I don't ever want to touch Frank's taint.

- If this isn't a cry for help, I don't know what is.

- Is this really the best video of Peca getting a ten game suspension?

- The Cowboys trading for Roy Williams is like throwing water on a gas leak. How does it help your current problems?

The Thinkery: Madden on the Bills

by Ryan

Sometimes I think I have too much time on my hands. That's when I remember how far behind I am in other things and realize I just have really, really screwed up priorities. The following is an example of that.

We've talked breifly about what effect video games have on a sports fan, and even shown in some ways the results have been mixed.

At some point along the way I thought it would be interesting to see how Madden player rankings stack up with actual player performance. I didn't have an exact hypothesis to prove, I was actually just curious to see how good they are at making player models.

Well, on Saturday I had some free time and started to tinker. Below are the charts I made, along with where I found them and what insight (if any) I gained. I hope you don't think I'm crazy.

The regular season stats were all found on Football-Reference, Madden rankings were found at IGN, and you can find both charts full size here and here.

Quarterback


(Click)

Thoughts
- Most of the overall ratings seem to be reactionary to what happened the previous year. That may seem obvious, but when Holcomb was the starter his rating next year jumped two points, when J.P. was the starter his rating jumped five points.

- J.P. Losman had the best year over the length of the sample size, yet he had one of the lowest ratings on the chart. His awareness is woefully low, too. Wait, that does seem to make sense.

- Madden doesn't think much of Trent Edwards. Even though he is the annointed savior and starter, they set Trent and J.P. dead even in most attributes, even having J.P. with a much better throwpower. This does make sense, though, and shows that even though a quarterback is starting he doesn't necessarily see a bump in numbers. The Madden rankings seem to be based purely on prior numbers and not who is in the best position to succeed.


Running Back


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Thoughts
- Madden was very concerned with Willis' knee injury. Once it was shown he could run he saw a huge bump in ratings that has stayed with him throughout his career.

- I didn't include recieving yards or touchdowns because I'm saving them for a post on recievers. That one will take the longest, so I'm waiting on it.

- Who was worse? Shaud Williams or Dwayne Wright? I say Wright.

- I'm surprised Marshawn's awareness has remained so low, but in a way Madden is right about this. He still doesn't hit holes the way he should, but sometimes reversing his field proves to be brilliant. It should be higher, but it is interesting to see that as his biggest weakness.

- I didn't include some stats because they weren't consistent throughout the years. Also, I was afriad to look at the "Injury" stat.

- Lots of faith shown in Fred Jackson considering they completely missed the boat on him last year.

So there you have it. I'd say this probably falls into the "Unjust Speech" category of the Thinkery, but I had fun doing it. Any questions about my method or what drugs I'm taking to battle the crazy, leave them below.

Monday, October 13, 2008

Hey Tony



The trade deadline is at 4 p.m. today. Make it happen, Buffalo.